Having observed history I had previously indicated that once the charismatic leader of al Queda In Iraq was killed, we would begin to see the deterioration of the organization. So, here we are not even a year and a half latter to watch history unfold yet again. All notions be they good or bad seem to succeed when they have a charismatic leader at the helm of said notion.
Of note in the Yon story:
During the meeting, another member of the Iraqi Islamic Party said that al
Qaeda has changed its strategy now that fomenting civil war between Sunni
and Shia has backfired.
Of course, not understanding that they themselves were/are part of the propaganda war with their usual zeal for American failure, many lefties were attributing the "civil war" in Iraq to the lack of understanding of Iraqi history and the tensions that were pre-existing and could never be brought to resolution because of the past. To believe this idea that "history is all" in understanding a culture or society, we would have to model any contemporary American societal notion with the idea that slavery is still an issue. This idea of course was resolved with a real civil war and we have collectively never looked back at the notion excepting to resolve that it would never happen again.
In fact we find that if we really want to use history as a guide, it is apparent that across the globe societies and cultures evolve and change at the will of many external and internal influences, sometimes for better and sometimes for worse. Notable instances are the whole of the Korean peninsula and the nation of Japan.
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